GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Arizona a 66% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Northern Arizona won the last meeting, 31–23 · 2025
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: NAU 0, UIW 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Market 11 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $2,325 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Incarnate Word vs Northern Arizona Stats ComparisonUIW vs NAU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Incarnate WordUIW | Northern ArizonaNAU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 20.5 |
| – | PA/G | 31 |
| – | YDS/G | 279 |
| – | PASS/G | 182 |
| – | RUSH/G | 97 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 29.6% |
| – | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| – | OFF PPA | -0.01 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 33.3% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 52.3% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Walkup SkydomeFAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Incarnate Word or Northern Arizona?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
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