Incarnate Word @ Northern Arizona, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northern Arizona a 54% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Northern Arizona won the last meeting, 31–23 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge NAU
Model projection NAU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.
Incarnate Word @ Northern Arizona
Your sims:Sims: NAU 0, UIW 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNAU 54%MarketNAU 53%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $2,325 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Arizona vs Incarnate Word Stats ComparisonNAU vs UIW Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Northern ArizonaNAU | Incarnate WordUIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | PPG | – |
| 31 | PA/G | – |
| 279 | YDS/G | – |
| 182 | PASS/G | – |
| 97 | RUSH/G | – |
| 4.7 | YDS/PLAY | – |
| 29.6% | 3RD DOWN | – |
| +3 | TO MARGIN | – |
| -0.01 | OFF PPA | – |
| 0.21 | DEF PPA | – |
| 33.3% | OFF SUCCESS | – |
| 52.3% | DEF SUCCESS | – |
| 1.13 | EXPLOSIVE | – |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Walkup SkydomeLocationFlagstaff, AZ
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1977
Elevation6,883 ft
FAN NEWS
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