Louisiana Tech @ Baylor, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Baylor a 85% chance.
SeriesBaylor leads 5–1 · Baylor won the last meeting, 24–16 · 1996
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BAY
Home-field edge BAY
Model projection BAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Louisiana Tech @ Baylor
Your sims:Sims: BAY 0, LT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)
Wvs Coastal Carolina23–14Wat Missouri State42–30Wvs Liberty34–28 (OT)Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Baylor vs Louisiana Tech Stats ComparisonBaylor vs LT Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BaylorBAY | Louisiana TechLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.1#33 | PPG | 27.3#71 |
| 32.6#122 | PA/G | 20.8#35 |
| 451.2#18 | YDS/G | 359.3#88 |
| 309.6#4 | PASS/G | 164.2#121 |
| 141.6#83 | RUSH/G | 195.2#24 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 37.8%#89 | 3RD DOWN | 41.0%#53 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.14#86 |
| 0.17#82 | DEF PPA | 0.04#15 |
| 44.7%#41 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 43.7%#99 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.1%#19 |
| 60.2% | RET PROD | 63.9% |
| 1.28#43 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#72 |
| −13#133 | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
| 3.8 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| 6.5#37 | FPI | -9.6#108 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
McLane StadiumLocationWaco, TX
Capacity45,140
SurfaceTurf
Opened2014
Elevation384 ft
FAN NEWS
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