LSU @ Ole Miss, Week 3 · 2026
#11
@#9
@#9GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·Ole MissMISS0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
LSU opens a 1.5-point underdog. Our model gives LSU a 47% chance.
SeriesLSU leads 64–41–4 · Ole Miss won the last meeting, 24–19 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge MISS
Market lean MISS
Model projection MISS
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
LSU @ Ole Miss
Your sims:Sims: LSU 0, MISS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMISS 53%MarketMISS 54%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $32,211 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADLSU +1.5MISS −1.5
TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5
MONEYLINELSU +110MISS −130
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
LSU vs Ole Miss Stats ComparisonLSU vs Ole Miss Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LSULSU | Ole MissMISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.8#103 | PPG | 36.9#10 |
| 19.8#23 | PA/G | 21.1#37 |
| 334.2#111 | YDS/G | 490.1#2 |
| 229.5#63 | PASS/G | 313.3#3 |
| 104.8#125 | RUSH/G | 176.7#45 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 36.8%#96 | 3RD DOWN | 43.1%#36 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | +1#66 |
| 0.09#111 | OFF PPA | 0.31#11 |
| 0.08#32 | DEF PPA | 0.11#49 |
| 39.9%#100 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.5%#12 |
| 38.5%#33 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 21.2% | RET PROD | 50.3% |
| 1.22#75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#45 |
| 20.4 | SP+ | 16.5 |
| 20.0#9 | FPI | 16.0#14 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Vaught-Hemingway StadiumLocationOxford, MS
Capacity64,038
SurfaceGrass
Opened1915
Elevation482 ft
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