Mississippi State @ Minnesota, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MINN
Home-field edge MINN
Model projection MINN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Mississippi State @ Minnesota
Your sims:Sims: MINN 0, MSST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Mississippi State
Mississippi State2025: 5–8 (1–7 SEC)
Lvs Wake Forest43–29Lvs Ole Miss38–19Lat Missouri49–27Mississippi State2025: 5–8 (1–7 SEC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Minnesota vs Mississippi State Stats ComparisonMinnesota vs MSST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MinnesotaMINN | Mississippi StateMSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 23#101 | PPG | 30.4#42 |
| 22.9#50 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 293.4#129 | YDS/G | 399.2#56 |
| 189.9#102 | PASS/G | 241.4#54 |
| 103.5#129 | RUSH/G | 157.8#68 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 40.1%#65 | 3RD DOWN | 42.7%#38 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.10#105 | OFF PPA | 0.15#80 |
| 0.15#69 | DEF PPA | 0.20#107 |
| 39.9%#100 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.0%#73 |
| 42.5%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3%#94 |
| 64.9% | RET PROD | 33.9% |
| 1.14#125 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#44 |
| 6.2 | SP+ | 4.8 |
| 0.6#63 | FPI | 4.1#49 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Huntington Bank StadiumLocationMinneapolis, MN
Capacity50,850
SurfaceTurf
Opened2009
Elevation835 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
