Monmouth @ Western Michigan, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Western Michigan opens a 25.5-point favorite. Our model gives Western Michigan a 97% chance.
SeriesWestern Michigan leads 1–0 · Western Michigan won the last meeting, 48–13 · 2019
97% One-score game
8% Cover WMU −25.5
61%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: WMU 0, MONM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $6,914 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Monmouth vs Western Michigan Stats ComparisonMonmouth vs WMU Stats Comparison
| MonmouthMONM | Western MichiganWMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5 | PPG | 12 |
| 31 | PA/G | 13 |
| 327 | YDS/G | 221 |
| 208 | PASS/G | 89 |
| 119 | RUSH/G | 132 |
| 5.1 | YDS/PLAY | 3.3 |
| 48.0% | 3RD DOWN | 44.4% |
| 0.14 | DEF PPA | 0.24 |
| 44.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 32.9% |
| 37.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.8% |
| 1.09 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.07 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.24 | OFF PPA | -0.04 |
| – | RET PROD | 99.7% |
| – | ELO | 1534 |
| – | SP+ | -4.2 |
| – | FPI | -0.9#70 |
THE VENUE
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