GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Austin Peay a 91% chance.
SeriesAustin Peay leads 5–1 · Austin Peay won the last meeting, 56–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) APSU
Home-field edge APSU
Model projection APSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morehead State @ Austin Peay
Your sims:Sims: APSU 0, MORE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Morehead State vs Austin Peay Stats ComparisonMORE vs Austin Peay Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Morehead StateMORE | Austin PeayAPSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5 | PPG | 22 |
| 33 | PA/G | 22.5 |
| 302 | YDS/G | 330.5 |
| 203 | PASS/G | 212 |
| 99 | RUSH/G | 118.5 |
| 9.2 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8 |
| 69.2% | 3RD DOWN | 21.7% |
| 0.57 | OFF PPA | 0.18 |
| 0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.15 |
| 52.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.5% |
| 37.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.2% |
| 1.77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.61 |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Governors StadiumLocationClarksville, TN
Capacity10,100
SurfaceTurf
Opened1946
Elevation469 ft
FAN NEWS
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