GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Illinois a 72% chance.
SeriesWestern Illinois leads 1–0 · Western Illinois won the last meeting, 31–6 · 2006
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) WIU
Home-field edge WIU
Model projection WIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morehead St @ Western Illinois
Your sims:Sims: WIU 0, MORE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Morehead State vs Western Illinois Stats ComparisonMORE vs WIU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Morehead StateMORE | Western IllinoisWIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5 | PPG | 37.5 |
| 33 | PA/G | 27.5 |
| 302 | YDS/G | 427 |
| 203 | PASS/G | 240.5 |
| 99 | RUSH/G | 186.5 |
| 9.2 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2 |
| 69.2% | 3RD DOWN | 46.4% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.57 | OFF PPA | 0.24 |
| 0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.14 |
| 52.2% | OFF SUCCESS | 47.5% |
| 37.3% | DEF SUCCESS | 37.0% |
| 1.77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hanson FieldLocationMacomb, IL
Capacity16,368
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation633 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Morehead State or Western Illinois?
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