GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Morehead State a 69% chance.
SeriesMorehead State leads 18–3 · Morehead State won the last meeting, 17–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) MORE
Home-field edge MORE
Model projection MORE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Valparaiso @ Morehead State
Your sims:Sims: MORE 0, VAL 0
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Valparaiso vs Morehead State Stats ComparisonValparaiso vs MORE Stats Comparison
2026 stats| ValparaisoVAL | Morehead StateMORE | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 57.5 |
| – | PA/G | 33 |
| – | YDS/G | 302 |
| – | PASS/G | 203 |
| – | RUSH/G | 99 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 9.2 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 69.2% |
| – | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.57 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.08 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 52.2% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 37.3% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.77 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jayne StadiumLocationMorehead, KY
Capacity10,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1964
Elevation748 ft
FAN NEWS
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