Morehead State @ Western Illinois, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
WIU radioLeatherneck Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Illinois a 72% chance.
SeriesWestern Illinois leads 1–0 · Western Illinois won the last meeting, 31–6 · 2006
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) WIU
Home-field edge WIU
Model projection WIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Morehead St @ Western Illinois
Your sims:Sims: WIU 0, MORE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Illinois vs Morehead State Stats ComparisonWIU vs MORE Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Western IllinoisWIU | Morehead StateMORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5 | PPG | 57.5 |
| 27.5 | PA/G | 33 |
| 427 | YDS/G | 302 |
| 240.5 | PASS/G | 203 |
| 186.5 | RUSH/G | 99 |
| 6.2 | YDS/PLAY | 9.2 |
| 46.4% | 3RD DOWN | 69.2% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.24 | OFF PPA | 0.57 |
| 0.14 | DEF PPA | 0.08 |
| 47.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 52.2% |
| 37.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 37.3% |
| 1.18 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.77 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Hanson FieldLocationMacomb, IL
Capacity16,368
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation633 ft
FAN NEWS
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