New Mexico State @ Hawai'i, Week 2 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingMW+
NMSU radioAggie Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico State a 11% chance.
SeriesHawai'i leads 11–1 · Hawai'i won the last meeting, 20–17 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) HAW
Home-field edge HAW
Model projection HAW
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
New Mexico State @ Hawai'i
Your sims:Sims: NMSU 0, HAW 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico State
New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)
Lat Florida State34–17New Mexico State2026: 0–1 (0–0 CUSA)Hawai'i
Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat Stanford37–27Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico State vs Hawai'i Stats ComparisonNMSU vs Hawai'i Stats Comparison
| New Mexico StateNMSU | Hawai'iHAW | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | PPG | 27 |
| 34 | PA/G | 37 |
| 319 | YDS/G | 322 |
| 272 | PASS/G | 276 |
| 47 | RUSH/G | 46 |
| 4.8 | YDS/PLAY | 4.4 |
| 58.8% | 3RD DOWN | 41.2% |
| 0.16 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| 0.29 | DEF PPA | 0.33 |
| 34.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.5% |
| 44.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 45.2% |
| 24.4% | RET PROD | 64.5% |
| 1.64 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26 |
| +0 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| -18.5 | SP+ | -2.6 |
| -15.7#129 | FPI | -2.4#76 |
THE VENUE
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics ComplexLocationHonolulu, HI
Capacity15,194
SurfaceTurf
Opened2015
Elevation66 ft
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