GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Carolina Central a 80% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 10–10 · North Carolina Central won the last meeting, 62–20 · 2025
80% One-score game
26%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: NCCU 0, NCAT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Market 12 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $2,793 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina A&T vs North Carolina Central Stats ComparisonNCAT vs NCCU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| North Carolina A&TNCAT | North Carolina CentralNCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | PPG | 28.5 |
| 38 | PA/G | 24 |
| 268.5 | YDS/G | 323.5 |
| 182.5 | PASS/G | 145.5 |
| 86 | RUSH/G | 178 |
| 4.4 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8 |
| 41.4% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.04 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| 0.42 | DEF PPA | 0.20 |
| 32.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 41.9% |
| 52.6% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
O'Kelly-Riddick StadiumFAN NEWS
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