North Carolina Central @ Gardner-Webb, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
GWEB radioGardner-Webb Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Gardner-Webb a 65% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Gardner-Webb won the last meeting, 21–12 · 2019
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
GWEB win
65% One-score game
35%
65% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) GWEB
Home-field edge GWEB
Model projection GWEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Carolina Central @ Gardner-Webb
Your sims:Sims: GWEB 0, NCCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNCCU 35%MarketNCCU 48%
Market 13 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Gardner-Webb vs North Carolina Central Stats ComparisonGardner-Webb vs NCCU Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Gardner-WebbGWEB | North Carolina CentralNCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | PPG | 28.5 |
| 26 | PA/G | 24 |
| 391 | YDS/G | 323.5 |
| 345 | PASS/G | 145.5 |
| 46 | RUSH/G | 178 |
| 5.2 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8 |
| 34.5% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.05 |
| 0.12 | DEF PPA | 0.20 |
| 39.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 41.9% |
| 36.0% | DEF SUCCESS | 38.9% |
| 1.12 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ernest W. Spangler StadiumLocationBoiling Springs, NC
Capacity9,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1969
Elevation831 ft
FAN NEWS
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