North Dakota @ Nebraska, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Dakota a 1% chance.
SeriesNebraska leads 2–0 · Nebraska won the last meeting, 38–17 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NEB
Home-field edge NEB
Model projection NEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota @ Nebraska
Your sims:Sims: UND 0, NEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Nebraska
Wvs Ohio49–21
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNEB 99%MarketNEB 86%
Market 13 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $1,280 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Dakota vs Nebraska Stats ComparisonNorth Dakota vs Nebraska Stats Comparison
| North DakotaUND | NebraskaNEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | PPG | 49 |
| 23.5 | PA/G | 21 |
| 496.5 | YDS/G | 523 |
| 265 | PASS/G | 275 |
| 231.5 | RUSH/G | 248 |
| 6.8 | YDS/PLAY | 7.1 |
| 60.0% | 3RD DOWN | 64.3% |
| 0.33 | OFF PPA | 0.49 |
| 55.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 51.4% |
| 32.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 35.3% |
| 1.11 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.54 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| -0.01 | DEF PPA | 0.13 |
| – | RET PROD | 46.3% |
| – | ELO | 1592 |
| – | SP+ | 12.1 |
| – | FPI | 11.3#23 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationLincoln, NE
Capacity85,458
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation1,164 ft
FAN NEWS
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