Northwestern State @ East Texas A&M, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
ETAM radioLion Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Texas A&M a 76% chance.
SeriesEast Texas A&M leads 3–2 · East Texas A&M won the last meeting, 40–10 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
ETAM win
76% One-score game
29%
76% One-score game
29%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ETAM
Home-field edge ETAM
Model projection ETAM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northwestern St @ East Texas A&M
Your sims:Sims: ETAM 0, NWST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Texas A&M vs Northwestern State Stats ComparisonETAM vs NWST Stats Comparison
2026 stats| East Texas A&METAM | Northwestern StateNWST | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | PPG | 21.5 |
| 33.5 | PA/G | 61 |
| 285 | YDS/G | 327 |
| 181.5 | PASS/G | 192 |
| 103.5 | RUSH/G | 135 |
| 4.9 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 26.9% | 3RD DOWN | 31.2% |
| 0.15 | DEF PPA | 0.38 |
| 36.1% | OFF SUCCESS | 31.9% |
| 41.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.0% |
| 1.32 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22 |
| −6 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| -0.03 | OFF PPA | -0.04 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationCommerce, TX
Capacity11,582
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation561 ft
FAN NEWS
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