Oregon @ Oklahoma State, Week 2 · 2026
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@GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oregon opens a 18.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oregon a 87% chance.
SeriesOregon leads 2–0 · Oregon won the last meeting, 69–3 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge OKST
Market lean ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Oregon @ Oklahoma State
Your sims:Sims: ORE 0, OKST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADORE −18.5OKST +18.5
TOTALOver 60.5Under 60.5
MONEYLINEORE −1200OKST +750
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Oregon vs Oklahoma State Stats ComparisonOregon vs OKST Stats Comparison
2025 stats| OregonORE | Oklahoma StateOKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.9#10 | PPG | 14.2#134 |
| 17.9#12 | PA/G | 33.3#126 |
| 452.2#17 | YDS/G | 292.5#130 |
| 253.6#39 | PASS/G | 174.1#116 |
| 198.6#20 | RUSH/G | 118.4#114 |
| 6.9#8 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 46.5%#18 | 3RD DOWN | 34.8%#108 |
| 0.04#13 | DEF PPA | 0.26#126 |
| 47.4%#16 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.2%#133 |
| 36.4%#15 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.2%#106 |
| 1.34#20 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#111 |
| 29.2 | SP+ | 6.9 |
| 25.3#4 | FPI | 3.3#54 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | −5#103 |
| 0.30#12 | OFF PPA | -0.01#135 |
| 75.3% | RET PROD | 0.0% |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Boone Pickens StadiumLocationStillwater, OK
Capacity55,509
SurfaceTurf
Opened1919
Elevation907 ft
FAN NEWS
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