Wisconsin vs Notre Dame: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction · CFB Vibes

B1G · Week 1

MASS @ RUTGThu, Sep 3 · 6:00 PM EDTBTN EIU @ MINNThu, Sep 3 · 7:00 PM CDT UAB @ ILLThu, Sep 3 · 8:00 PM CDTBTN INST @ PURFri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM EDTBTN TOL @ MSUFri, Sep 4 · 8:00 PM EDTFS1 FRES @ USCFri, Sep 4 · 6:00 PM PDTFOX OHIO @ NEBSat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDTFS1 UNT @ IUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTFOX BALL @ OSUSat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM EDTBTN MRSH @ PSUSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTFS1 NIU @ IOWASat, Sep 5 · 3:15 PM CDTBTN WMU @ MICHSat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM EDTNBC SDST @ NUSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM CDTBTN HAMP @ MDSat, Sep 5 · 8:00 PM EDTBTN UCLA @ CALSat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM PDTESPN WSU @ WASHSun, Sep 6 · 1:00 PM PDTNBC WIS vs NDSun, Sep 6 · 6:30 PM CDTNBC

Wisconsin

VS#4

Notre Dame

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sun, Sep 6 · 6:30 PM CDT6:30 PM CDT

WisconsinWIS0–0·B1G

Notre DameND0–0

StreamingPeacock

WIS radioBadger Radio Network

ND radioNotre Dame Radio Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Notre Dame opens a 20.5-point favorite in Greenbay. Our model gives Notre Dame a 94% chance.

SeriesNotre Dame leads 9–6–2 · Notre Dame won the last meeting, 41–13 · 2021

WIN PROBABILITY

ND 94% WIS 6%

PROJECTED FINAL

36

12

ND win
94% One-score game
14% Cover ND −20.5
59%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) ND

Neutral site EVEN

Market lean ND

Model projection ND

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame

Your sims:Sims: ND 0, WIS 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

2025: 4–8 (2–7 B1G)

Lat Minnesota17–7 Wvs Illinois27–10 Lat Indiana31–7

2025: 10–2

Wat Stanford49–20 Wvs Syracuse70–7 Wat Pittsburgh37–15

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Notre Dame93%
Wisconsin8%

CFB Vibes ModelND 94%MarketND 93%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $135,111 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADWIS +20.5ND −20.5

TOTALOver 47.5Under 47.5

MONEYLINEWIS +1000ND −1800

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Stats ComparisonWisconsin vs Notre Dame Stats Comparison

2025 stats

WisconsinWIS		Notre DameND
12.8#135	PPG	42#2
21.6#39	PA/G	17.6#10
254.8#135	YDS/G	459.5#12
136.4#132	PASS/G	255.1#37
118.3#115	RUSH/G	204.4#17
4.4#135	YDS/PLAY	7.5#1
32.3%#126	3RD DOWN	48.1%#13
0.02#130	OFF PPA	0.33#6
0.17#82	DEF PPA	0.02#9
36.6%#122	OFF SUCCESS	46.3%#24
44.8%#115	DEF SUCCESS	36.3%#14
31.0%	RET PROD	51.2%
1.20#102	EXPLOSIVE	1.50#1
3.8	SP+	26.5
4.8#43	FPI	25.9#3
−10#123	TO MARGIN	+13#7

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Lambeau Field

LocationGreenbay, WI

Capacity80,735

SurfaceGrass

Opened1957

Elevation631 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

Write about Wisconsin or Notre Dame?

Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.

Get Your Blog Featured →

MORE WEEK 1 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#24

Louisville

VS#9

Ole Miss

Sun, Sep 6 · 6:30 PM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELMISS 67% to win

Ball State

@#1

Ohio State

Sat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win

Boise State

@#2

Oregon

Sat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM PDT

CFB VIBES MODELORE 94% to win

TNST@#3

Georgia

Sat, Sep 5 · 3:00 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELUGA 99% to win

Texas State

@#5

Texas

Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELTEX 97% to win

ESPNSIM NOW →

North Texas

@#6

Indiana

Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELIU 99% to win

#7

Miami

@

Stanford

Fri, Sep 4 · 6:00 PM PDT

CFB VIBES MODELMIA 94% to win

ESPNSIM NOW →

Missouri State

@#8

Texas A&M

Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELTA&M 99% to win

ESPNSIM NOW →