San Diego at Cal Poly: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction · 2025 ratings

San Diego Vibes

GAME DAY

Week 3 · Sat, Sep 19 · 5:00 PM PDT5:00 PM PDT

San DiegoUSD–

Cal PolyCP–

StreamingESPN+

USD radioTorero Radio Network

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Terms & eligibility

Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives San Diego a 30% chance.

SeriesCal Poly leads 9–2 · Cal Poly won the last meeting, 41–17 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY

CP 70% USD 30%

PROJECTED FINAL

Cal Poly

San Diego

USD win
30% One-score game
34%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) CP

Home-field edge CP

Model projection CP

Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.

San Diego @ Cal Poly

Your sims:Sims: USD 0, CP 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Cal Poly

2025: 0–1

Lat Utah63–9

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

San Diego vs Cal Poly Stats ComparisonSan Diego vs Cal Poly Stats Comparison

2026 stats

San DiegoUSD		Cal PolyCP
17	PPG	31
49	PA/G	25.5
328	YDS/G	450
182	PASS/G	261.5
146	RUSH/G	188.5
4.9	YDS/PLAY	6.5
23.1%	3RD DOWN	51.9%
0.38	DEF PPA	0.26
35.3%	OFF SUCCESS	47.6%
51.5%	DEF SUCCESS	42.8%
0.87	EXPLOSIVE	1.19
−2	TO MARGIN	+2
-0.03	OFF PPA	0.24

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Alex G. Spanos Stadium

LocationSan Luis Obispo, CA

Capacity11,075

SurfaceGrass

Opened2006

Elevation278 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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