South Dakota State @ North Dakota, Week 7 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·StreamingESPN+
SDST radioJackrabbit Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Dakota State a 32% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota State leads 7–1 · South Dakota State won the last meeting, 34–31 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) UND
Home-field edge UND
Model projection UND
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota St @ North Dakota
Your sims:Sims: SDST 0, UND 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Dakota State vs North Dakota Stats ComparisonSDST vs North Dakota Stats Comparison
2026 stats| South Dakota StateSDST | North DakotaUND | |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | PPG | 52 |
| 20.5 | PA/G | 23.5 |
| 530 | YDS/G | 496.5 |
| 260 | PASS/G | 265 |
| 270 | RUSH/G | 231.5 |
| 7.4 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8 |
| 46.4% | 3RD DOWN | 60.0% |
| 0.38 | OFF PPA | 0.33 |
| 49.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 55.0% |
| 42.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 32.5% |
| 1.31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
| 0.11 | DEF PPA | -0.01 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Alerus CenterLocationGrand Forks, ND
Capacity12,283
SurfaceTurf
Opened2001
Elevation837 ft
FAN NEWS
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