South Dakota @ Murray State, Week 7 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·StreamingESPN+
MUR radioRacer Radio / Froggy
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Murray State a 28% chance.
SeriesSouth Dakota leads 3–0 · South Dakota won the last meeting, 49–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) SDAK
Home-field edge MUR
Model projection SDAK
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Dakota @ Murray State
Your sims:Sims: MUR 0, SDAK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Murray State vs South Dakota Stats ComparisonMurray State vs South Dakota Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Murray StateMUR | South DakotaSDAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | PPG | 48.5 |
| 33 | PA/G | 21.5 |
| 305 | YDS/G | 493 |
| 201 | PASS/G | 252.5 |
| 104 | RUSH/G | 240.5 |
| 5.3 | YDS/PLAY | 8.7 |
| 32.0% | 3RD DOWN | 40.0% |
| 0.07 | OFF PPA | 0.54 |
| 0.32 | DEF PPA | 0.11 |
| 40.5% | OFF SUCCESS | 53.4% |
| 44.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6% |
| 1.20 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.42 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | −1 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Roy Stewart StadiumLocationMurray, KY
Capacity16,800
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation501 ft
FAN NEWS
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