Stetson at UC Davis: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

BSKY · Week 2

WEB @ COLOSat, Sep 12 · 1:30 PM MDT UNCO @ WYOSat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM MDT SUU @ CSUSat, Sep 12 · 5:00 PM MDTCBSSN CP @ SJSUSat, Sep 12 · 6:00 PM PDT MTST @ NEVSat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM PDTThe CW

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 3 · Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM PDT7:00 PM PDT

StetsonSTET–

UC DavisUCD–

StreamingESPN+

UCD radioAggie Radio / Sactown Sports

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Terms & eligibility

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives UC Davis a 97% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

UCD 97% STET 3%

PROJECTED FINAL

UC Davis

Stetson

UCD win
97% One-score game
8%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge UCD

Model projection UCD

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.

Stetson @ UC Davis

Your sims:Sims: UCD 0, STET 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

UC Davis

2025: 0–1

Lat Washington70–10

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

UC Davis96%
Stetson5%

CFB Vibes ModelUCD 97%MarketUCD 96%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $9,854 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

UC Davis vs Stetson Stats ComparisonUC Davis vs Stetson Stats Comparison

2026 stats

UC DavisUCD		StetsonSTET
40	PPG	26
20.5	PA/G	40
455.5	YDS/G	382.5
296.5	PASS/G	237.5
159	RUSH/G	145
6.9	YDS/PLAY	6.1
48.0%	3RD DOWN	50.0%
0.24	OFF PPA	0.12
0.04	DEF PPA	0.32
49.6%	OFF SUCCESS	40.8%
39.4%	DEF SUCCESS	45.6%
1.18	EXPLOSIVE	1.36
+2	TO MARGIN	−1

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Aggie Stadium

LocationDavis, CA

Capacity10,743

SurfaceTurf

Opened2007

Elevation37 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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