Stony Brook at Ball State: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

CAA · Week 2

STBK @ BALLSat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM EDT SHU @ MASSSat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT CAM @ FLASat, Sep 12 · 5:30 PM EDT MONM @ WMUSat, Sep 12 · 6:30 PM EDT TOW @ SCSat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM EDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Sat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM EDT2:00 PM EDT

Stony BrookSTBK–

Ball StateBALL0–1·MAC

StreamingESPN+

STBK radioSeawolves Radio

BALL radioCardinal Sports Network

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Terms & eligibility

Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Ball State opens a 14.5-point favorite. Our model gives Ball State a 87% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

BALL 87% STBK 13%

PROJECTED FINAL

Ball State

Stony Brook

BALL win
87% One-score game
24% Cover BALL −14.5
58%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge BALL

Market lean BALL

Model projection BALL

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Stony Brook @ Ball State

Your sims:Sims: BALL 0, STBK 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Ball State

2026: 0–1 (0–0 MAC)

Lat Ohio State56–3

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

Ball State87%
Stony Brook14%

CFB Vibes ModelBALL 87%MarketBALL 87%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $4,616 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADSTBK +14.5BALL −14.5

TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5

MONEYLINESTBK +575BALL −850

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice

Stony Brook vs Ball State Stats ComparisonStony Brook vs Ball State Stats Comparison

Stony BrookSTBK		Ball StateBALL
35	PPG	3
36.5	PA/G	56
429	YDS/G	165
310.5	PASS/G	120
118.5	RUSH/G	45
6.1	YDS/PLAY	2.8
37.5%	3RD DOWN	21.4%
0.21	DEF PPA	0.67
40.8%	OFF SUCCESS	21.0%
38.3%	DEF SUCCESS	56.2%
1.34	EXPLOSIVE	1.30
−2	TO MARGIN	+0
0.17	OFF PPA	-0.24
–	RET PROD	5.7%
–	ELO	1112
–	SP+	-25.0
–	FPI	-19.0#135

THE VENUE

Scheumann Stadium

LocationMuncie, IN

Capacity22,500

SurfaceTurf

Opened1967

Elevation937 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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