Troy @ Missouri, Week 3 · 2026
@#25
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·MissouriMIZ0–0·SEC
StreamingSECN+
MIZ radioMizzou Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Missouri a 95% chance.
SeriesMissouri leads 3–1 · Missouri won the last meeting, 42–10 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MIZ
Home-field edge MIZ
Model projection MIZ
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Troy @ Missouri
Your sims:Sims: MIZ 0, TROY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Missouri vs Troy Stats ComparisonMissouri vs Troy Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MissouriMIZ | TroyTROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2#44 | PPG | 23.5#95 |
| 18.9#17 | PA/G | 23.9#58 |
| 416.8#31 | YDS/G | 307.2#124 |
| 188.4#104 | PASS/G | 209.2#90 |
| 228.5#8 | RUSH/G | 98#131 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 44.9%#29 | 3RD DOWN | 38.8%#80 |
| 0.21#35 | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| 0.03#10 | DEF PPA | 0.11#50 |
| 45.4%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.9%#117 |
| 34.9%#7 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.6%#47 |
| 42.0% | RET PROD | 35.3% |
| 1.22#75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#40 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| 15.4 | SP+ | -8.0 |
| 12.2#21 | FPI | -7.4#95 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationColumbia, MO
Capacity71,168
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation698 ft
FAN NEWS
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