Villanova @ Louisville, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Villanova opens a 36.5-point underdog. Our model gives Villanova a 1% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
VILL win
1% One-score game
4% Cover LOU −36.5
51%
1% One-score game
4% Cover LOU −36.5
51%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge LOU
Market lean LOU
Model projection LOU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Villanova @ Louisville
Your sims:Sims: VILL 0, LOU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Louisville
Lvs Ole Miss41–38
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelLOU 99%MarketLOU 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $309,293 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADVILL +36.5LOU −36.5
TOTALOver 56.5Under 56.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Villanova vs Louisville Stats ComparisonVillanova vs Louisville Stats Comparison
| VillanovaVILL | LouisvilleLOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5 | PPG | 38 |
| 25.5 | PA/G | 41 |
| 366 | YDS/G | 469 |
| 244 | PASS/G | 307 |
| 122 | RUSH/G | 162 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 6.9 |
| 45.8% | 3RD DOWN | 43.8% |
| 0.11 | OFF PPA | 0.39 |
| 0.07 | DEF PPA | 0.30 |
| 44.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 45.6% |
| 36.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 46.3% |
| 1.21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.51 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| – | RET PROD | 34.8% |
| – | ELO | 1668 |
| – | SP+ | 10.0 |
| – | FPI | 10.8#28 |
THE VENUE
L&N Federal Credit Union StadiumLocationLouisville, KY
Capacity60,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation455 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Villanova?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
