Wagner @ California, Week 3 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWhat's driving the model
Home-field edge CAL
Model projection CAL
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.
Wagner @ California
Your sims:Sims: WAG 0, CAL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3California
Lvs UCLA45–24
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelCAL 99%MarketCAL 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $26,538 traded · as of Sep 9, 7:34 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Wagner vs California Stats ComparisonWagner vs California Stats Comparison
| WagnerWAG | CaliforniaCAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | PPG | 24 |
| 17.5 | PA/G | 45 |
| 253 | YDS/G | 410 |
| 171 | PASS/G | 291 |
| 82 | RUSH/G | 119 |
| 3.8 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 22.6% | 3RD DOWN | 52.4% |
| 0.03 | DEF PPA | 0.42 |
| 29.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 33.7% |
| 28.7% | DEF SUCCESS | 56.6% |
| 1.25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.48 |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| -0.14 | OFF PPA | 0.13 |
| – | RET PROD | 58.3% |
| – | ELO | 1349 |
| – | SP+ | -3.4 |
| – | FPI | -3.0#78 |
THE VENUE
California Memorial StadiumLocationBerkeley, CA
Capacity62,467
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation411 ft
FAN NEWS
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