Wagner at James Madison: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

Wagner Vibes

NEC · Week 2

CCSU @ TOLSat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT RMU @ AKRSat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT MERC @ UNMSat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM MDT

All scores

GAME DAY

Week 2 · Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT3:30 PM EDT

WagnerWAG–

James MadisonJMU1–0·SBC

StreamingESPN+

WAG radioWagner Seahawks Radio

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Terms & eligibility

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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Wagner opens a 45.5-point underdog. Our model gives Wagner a 1% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

JMU 99% WAG 1%

PROJECTED FINAL

James Madison

Wagner

WAG win
1% One-score game
4% Cover JMU −45.5
29%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge JMU

Market lean JMU

Model projection JMU

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

Wagner @ James Madison

Your sims:Sims: WAG 0, JMU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

James Madison

2026: 1–0 (0–0 SBC)

Wvs Liberty20–13

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

James Madison99%
Wagner1%

CFB Vibes ModelJMU 99%MarketJMU 99%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $72,550 traded · as of Sep 9, 9:04 PM ETInformation only

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADWAG +45.5JMU −45.5

TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5

DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 9:06 PM ETNot gambling advice

Wagner vs James Madison Stats ComparisonWagner vs JMU Stats Comparison

WagnerWAG		James MadisonJMU
19	PPG	20
17.5	PA/G	13
253	YDS/G	291
171	PASS/G	118
82	RUSH/G	173
3.8	YDS/PLAY	5.9
22.6%	3RD DOWN	40.0%
0.03	DEF PPA	0.03
29.9%	OFF SUCCESS	38.0%
28.7%	DEF SUCCESS	37.7%
1.25	EXPLOSIVE	1.25
+1	TO MARGIN	+0
-0.14	OFF PPA	0.28
–	RET PROD	8.0%
–	ELO	1776
–	SP+	-0.3
–	FPI	-2.5#76

THE VENUE

Bridgeforth Stadium

LocationHarrisonburg, VA

Capacity24,877

SurfaceTurf

Opened1975

Elevation1,310 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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