Western Carolina @ Cincinnati, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Cincinnati opens a 36.5-point favorite. Our model gives Cincinnati a 99% chance.
SeriesCincinnati leads 1–0 · Cincinnati won the last meeting, 7–3 · 2005
99% One-score game
4% Cover CIN −36.5
50%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: CIN 0, WCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $15,498 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Western Carolina vs Cincinnati Stats ComparisonWCU vs Cincinnati Stats Comparison
| Western CarolinaWCU | CincinnatiCIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.3 | PPG | 34 |
| 16.3 | PA/G | 15 |
| 278.3 | YDS/G | 339 |
| 215.3 | PASS/G | 85 |
| 63 | RUSH/G | 254 |
| 6.1 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 37.0% | 3RD DOWN | 41.7% |
| +5 | TO MARGIN | +2 |
| 0.14 | OFF PPA | 0.24 |
| 0.15 | DEF PPA | 0.12 |
| 39.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 38.7% |
| 41.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 39.7% |
| 1.40 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25 |
| – | RET PROD | 8.3% |
| – | ELO | 1516 |
| – | SP+ | 5.9 |
| – | FPI | 6.3#43 |
THE VENUE
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