Yale @ Holy Cross, Week 3 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 3 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Yale a 62% chance.

SeriesYale leads 7–5 · Yale won the last meeting, 28–10 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
YALE 62% HC 38%
PROJECTED FINAL
YALE win
62%
One-score game
35%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SRS) YALE
Home-field edge HC
Model projection YALE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Yale @ Holy Cross

Your sims:Sims: YALE 0, HC 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Yale83%
  2. Holy Cross15%
CFB Vibes ModelYALE 62%MarketYALE 83%

Market 21 points higher than our model

Kalshi · $17 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Yale vs Holy Cross Stats ComparisonYale vs Holy Cross Stats Comparison

2026 stats
YaleYALEHoly CrossHC
PPG10
PA/G35
YDS/G360.5
3RD DOWN38.1%

2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Fitton Field
LocationWorcester, MA
Capacity23,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation451 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES

TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

#8@#9
CFB VIBES MODELMISS 53% to win
#22@#13
CFB VIBES MODELTTU 80% to win
#17@#24
CFB VIBES MODELLOU 55% to win
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CFB VIBES MODELOSU 99% to win
#2@
CFB VIBES MODELUGA 86% to win
75Games in Week 3Full schedule →