MARKET FAVORS 8+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 8 (62%)
- 9+ wins1%
- 8+ wins63%
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
Consensus spread, total and line movement for every UNLV game as lines are posted, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #3 in the Mountain West championship market at 11%.

MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | down 2 today49% | |
| 2 | ![]() | 28% | |
| 3 | ![]() | 11% | |
| 4 | ![]() | 7% | |
| 5 | ![]() | 2% | |
| 6 | ![]() | 2% | |
| 7 | San Jose St. | 2% | |
| 8 | ![]() | 1% | |
| 9 | ![]() | 1% | |
| 10 | ![]() | 1% |
MARKET FAVORS 8+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 8 (62%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
UNLV 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 4–1
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() ![]() | 6%94% | TBD | – | TBD | |
![]() ![]() | 15%85% | TBD | – | TBD | |
![]() ![]() | 15%85% | TBD | – | TBD | |
![]() ![]() | 68%32% | TBD | – | TBD | |
![]() ![]() | 32%68% | TBD | – | TBD |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for UNLV. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →