MARKET FAVORS 8+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 8 (17%)
- 9+ wins46%
- 8+ wins63%
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
Consensus spread, total and line movement for one priced UNLV game, plus championship futures and the season win-total ladder. The team is #2 in the Mountain West championship market at 26%.

MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP
| # | TEAM | MARKET %MKT % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Dakota St.North Dakota State | 27% | |
| 2 | UNLV | up 1 today26% | |
| 3 | New Mexico | 21% | |
| 4 | Air Force | up 1 today14% | |
| 5 | Hawai'i | 10% | |
| 6 | Nevada | 2% | |
| 7 | San Jose St. | 2% | |
| 8 | Wyoming | down 1 today2% | |
| 9 | Northern Illinois | 1% | |
| 10 | UTEP | 1% |
MARKET FAVORS 8+ WINS · MOST LIKELY: 8 (17%)
Live Kalshi prices. Regular-season wins only, so conference title games, bowls and playoff games do not count. "Most likely" is each total's own share, derived from the ladder.
UNLV 2026 PROJECTED RECORD: 10–1
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
| MATCHUP | KICKOFF | VIBES WIN% | SPREAD | MOVE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV@ Hawai'i | 58%42% | −3+3 | 1.5 ▲ | 56.5 | |
UNLV@ North Texas | 76%24% | TBD | – | TBD | |
UNLV@ Akron | TBD | 91%9% | TBD | – | TBD |
California@ UNLV | 38%62% | TBD | – | TBD | |
North Dakota State@ UNLV | 27%73% | TBD | – | TBD | |
UNLV@ Air Force | 57%43% | TBD | – | TBD | |
Northern Illinois@ UNLV | 7%93% | TBD | – | TBD | |
Wyoming@ UNLV | 13%87% | TBD | – | TBD | |
UNLV@ New Mexico | 49%51% | TBD | – | TBD | |
UNLV@ San José State | 83%17% | TBD | – | TBD | |
Nevada@ UNLV | 12%88% | TBD | – | TBD |
VIBES WIN% is our simulator's chance for UNLV. Spread, total and move are a sportsbook consensus (▲ moved toward the favorite, ▼ away; TBD = no line posted yet). Tap any kickoff for per-provider lines and the full simulator, or start with Prediction Markets 101 →