Alabama @ Kentucky, Week 2 · 2026
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@GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·AlabamaALA0–0·SEC
KentuckyUK0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kentucky a 30% chance.
SeriesAlabama leads 39–2–1 · Alabama won the last meeting, 49–21 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ALA
Home-field edge UK
Model projection ALA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alabama @ Kentucky
Your sims:Sims: UK 0, ALA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelALA 70%MarketALA 86%
Market 16 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $1,401 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kentucky vs Alabama Stats ComparisonKentucky vs Alabama Stats Comparison
2025 stats| KentuckyUK | AlabamaALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23#101 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 26.4#75 | PA/G | 19.2#20 |
| 341.2#105 | YDS/G | 367.7#84 |
| 201.9#96 | PASS/G | 263.5#29 |
| 139.2#86 | RUSH/G | 104.2#127 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 40.3%#62 | 3RD DOWN | 41.7%#45 |
| 0.09#109 | OFF PPA | 0.21#37 |
| 0.17#79 | DEF PPA | 0.07#28 |
| 43.1%#59 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#54 |
| 43.6%#97 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#21 |
| 19.3% | RET PROD | 26.4% |
| 1.14#127 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#48 |
| 5.2 | SP+ | 17.6 |
| 5.4#40 | FPI | 20.1#8 |
| −8#117 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kroger FieldLocationLexington, KY
Capacity61,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation1,009 ft
FAN NEWS
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