UTEP @ Oklahoma, Week 1 · 2026
@#10
GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·OklahomaOU0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oklahoma opens a 41.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oklahoma a 99% chance.
SeriesOklahoma leads 5–0 · Oklahoma won the last meeting, 45–13 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OU
Home-field edge OU
Market lean OU
Model projection OU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
UTEP @ Oklahoma
Your sims:Sims: OU 0, UTEP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOU 99%MarketOU 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $101,359 traded · as of Sep 1, 11:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUTEP +41.5OU −41.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
UTEP vs Oklahoma Stats ComparisonUTEP vs Oklahoma Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UTEPUTEP | OklahomaOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.3#99 | PPG | 26.2#79 |
| 30.4#110 | PA/G | 15.5#7 |
| 331.8#113 | YDS/G | 354.5#93 |
| 216.2#84 | PASS/G | 235.8#59 |
| 115.6#117 | RUSH/G | 118.7#113 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 30.3%#133 | 3RD DOWN | 38.6%#83 |
| 0.01#131 | OFF PPA | 0.11#100 |
| 32.8%#135 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 38.9%#41 | DEF SUCCESS | 30.7%#2 |
| 1.45#4 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| 0.10#43 | DEF PPA | -0.02#4 |
| -1.1% | RET PROD | 63.2% |
| -19.3 | SP+ | 18.8 |
| -16.6#132 | FPI | 17.8#12 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationNorman, OK
Capacity86,112
SurfaceGrass
Opened1925
Elevation1,165 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about UTEP or Oklahoma?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
