GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·ALCN radioBraves Sports Network
SOU radioJaguars Radio / KQXL
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Alcorn State a 59% chance.
SeriesAlcorn State leads 13–9 · Alcorn State won the last meeting, 35–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ALCN
Home-field edge SOU
Model projection ALCN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alcorn State @ Southern
Your sims:Sims: SOU 0, ALCN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Alcorn State vs Southern Stats ComparisonAlcorn State vs Southern Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Alcorn StateALCN | SouthernSOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5 | PPG | 25.5 |
| 28 | PA/G | 22.5 |
| 305.5 | YDS/G | 353.5 |
| 217.5 | PASS/G | 187 |
| 88 | RUSH/G | 166.5 |
| 4.9 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3 |
| 50.0% | 3RD DOWN | 29.6% |
| 0.16 | OFF PPA | 0.20 |
| 0.18 | DEF PPA | 0.08 |
| 38.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 36.0% |
| 46.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 32.3% |
| 1.41 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37 |
| −3 | TO MARGIN | +0 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ace W. Mumford StadiumLocationBaton Rouge, LA
Capacity28,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation66 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Alcorn State or Southern?
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