Ball State @ Bowling Green, Week 7 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 7 · TBDBALL radioCardinal Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ball State a 20% chance.
SeriesBowling Green leads 21–9–1 · Bowling Green won the last meeting, 38–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BGSU
Home-field edge BGSU
Model projection BGSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ball State @ Bowling Green
Your sims:Sims: BALL 0, BGSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ball State vs Bowling Green Stats ComparisonBall State vs BGSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ball StateBALL | Bowling GreenBGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8#132 | PPG | 20.5#117 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 24.2#63 |
| 271.7#134 | YDS/G | 306.8#125 |
| 138#131 | PASS/G | 151.2#126 |
| 133.7#96 | RUSH/G | 155.5#71 |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#120 |
| 33.5%#119 | 3RD DOWN | 36.7%#98 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.15#60 |
| 32.5%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | 35.9%#127 |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.5%#55 |
| 1.32#29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#68 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -0.00#133 | OFF PPA | 0.03#129 |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | -6.2% |
| -25.1 | SP+ | -15.0 |
| -17.3#134 | FPI | -13.7#123 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Doyt L. Perry StadiumLocationBowling Green, OH
Capacity24,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation676 ft
FAN NEWS
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