Bowling Green @ Miami (OH), Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDBGSU radioFalcon Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Bowling Green a 17% chance.
SeriesMiami (OH) leads 34–21–4 · Miami (OH) won the last meeting, 28–12 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) M-OH
Home-field edge M-OH
Model projection M-OH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH)
Your sims:Sims: BGSU 0, M-OH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Bowling Green
Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)
Wat Massachusetts45–14Lvs Akron19–16Lat Eastern Michigan27–21Bowling Green2025: 4–8 (2–6 MAC)Miami (OH)
Miami (OH)2025: 7–7 (6–2 MAC)
Lvs Fresno State18–3Lvs Western Michigan23–13Wvs Ball State45–24Miami (OH)2025: 7–7 (6–2 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Stats ComparisonBGSU vs Miami (OH) Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Bowling GreenBGSU | Miami (OH)M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5#117 | PPG | 23.5#95 |
| 24.2#63 | PA/G | 21.7#41 |
| 306.8#125 | YDS/G | 338.1#108 |
| 151.2#126 | PASS/G | 187.3#106 |
| 155.5#71 | RUSH/G | 150.8#78 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 36.7%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 34.7%#109 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| 0.03#129 | OFF PPA | 0.10#104 |
| 0.15#60 | DEF PPA | 0.09#34 |
| 35.9%#127 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.4%#109 |
| 40.5%#55 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.3%#44 |
| 1.24#68 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#93 |
| -6.2% | RET PROD | 13.9% |
| -15.0 | SP+ | -4.0 |
| -13.7#123 | FPI | -7.0#94 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Yager StadiumLocationOxford, OH
Capacity24,286
SurfaceTurf
Opened1983
Elevation795 ft
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