BYU @ Colorado State, Week 3 · 2026
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@GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives BYU a 91% chance.
SeriesBYU leads 39–27–3 · BYU won the last meeting, 49–10 · 2010
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge CSU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
BYU @ Colorado State
Your sims:Sims: BYU 0, CSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Colorado State
Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)
Lvs Air Force42–21Lat Boise State49–21Lat New Mexico20–17Colorado State2025: 2–10 (1–7 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
BYU vs Colorado State Stats ComparisonBYU vs CSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BYUBYU | Colorado StateCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4#32 | PPG | 18.5#124 |
| 19.1#19 | PA/G | 30.8#113 |
| 400.3#55 | YDS/G | 324.2#117 |
| 221.1#74 | PASS/G | 215.9#86 |
| 179.1#39 | RUSH/G | 108.2#120 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.1#111 |
| 41.4%#49 | 3RD DOWN | 32.9%#122 |
| 0.22#33 | OFF PPA | 0.12#94 |
| 0.06#22 | DEF PPA | 0.24#118 |
| 46.0%#27 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.8%#103 |
| 38.5%#33 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.9%#119 |
| 78.5% | RET PROD | 39.6% |
| 1.18#106 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#86 |
| +8#18 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| 14.9 | SP+ | -11.6 |
| 13.1#20 | FPI | -12.4#118 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Canvas StadiumLocationFort Collins, CO
Capacity36,500
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation5,014 ft
FAN NEWS
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