GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·Fubo Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on Fubo ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Idaho State a 68% chance.
SeriesCal Poly leads 7–6 · Idaho State won the last meeting, 27–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) IDST
Home-field edge IDST
Model projection IDST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Cal Poly @ Idaho State
Your sims:Sims: IDST 0, CP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Cal Poly vs Idaho State Stats ComparisonCal Poly vs Idaho State Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Cal PolyCP | Idaho StateIDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | PPG | 33.5 |
| 25.5 | PA/G | 13.5 |
| 450 | YDS/G | 347.5 |
| 261.5 | PASS/G | 259 |
| 188.5 | RUSH/G | 88.5 |
| 6.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5 |
| 51.9% | 3RD DOWN | 29.6% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.24 | OFF PPA | 0.12 |
| 47.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 40.8% |
| 42.8% | DEF SUCCESS | 34.6% |
| 1.19 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18 |
| 0.26 | DEF PPA | -0.02 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Holt ArenaLocationPocatello, ID
Capacity12,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1970
Elevation4,561 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Cal Poly or Idaho State?
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