California @ UNLV, Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·CaliforniaCAL0–0·ACC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UNLV a 60% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · UNLV won the last meeting, 24–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNLV
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
California @ UNLV
Your sims:Sims: UNLV 0, CAL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UNLV vs California Stats ComparisonUNLV vs California Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UNLVUNLV | CaliforniaCAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.1#17 | PPG | 25.3#86 |
| 28#89 | PA/G | 27.2#82 |
| 446.8#21 | YDS/G | 357.8#89 |
| 250.9#42 | PASS/G | 275.3#19 |
| 195.9#23 | RUSH/G | 82.5#133 |
| 6.8#11 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 45.2%#28 | 3RD DOWN | 40.4%#61 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.13#93 |
| 0.21#111 | DEF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 46.6%#23 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.7%#89 |
| 44.1%#104 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.0%#77 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 58.3% |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| 3.6 | SP+ | 3.0 |
| 1.8#58 | FPI | 0.9#62 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allegiant StadiumLocationLas Vegas, NV
Capacity65,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation2,185 ft
FAN NEWS
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