Charlotte @ App State, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CharlotteCLT0–0·AAC
App StateAPP0–0·SBC
StreamingESPN+
CLT radio49ers Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Charlotte a 18% chance.
SeriesApp State leads 4–0 · App State won the last meeting, 34–11 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) APP
Home-field edge APP
Model projection APP
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Charlotte @ App State
Your sims:Sims: CLT 0, APP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3App State
App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern29–10Lvs Arkansas State30–29Wvs Marshall26–24App State2025: 5–8 (2–6 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Charlotte vs App State Stats ComparisonCharlotte vs App State Stats Comparison
2025 stats| CharlotteCLT | App StateAPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.3#133 | PPG | 24.2#91 |
| 36.3#131 | PA/G | 29.8#101 |
| 285.8#132 | YDS/G | 384.9#71 |
| 204#94 | PASS/G | 256.5#34 |
| 81.8#135 | RUSH/G | 128.4#102 |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 34.5%#111 | 3RD DOWN | 32.8%#123 |
| 0.23#115 | DEF PPA | 0.18#86 |
| 35.3%#129 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.9%#86 |
| 52.2%#136 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.8%#115 |
| 40.9% | RET PROD | 37.9% |
| 1.23#73 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.19#104 |
| −8#117 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -0.01#134 | OFF PPA | 0.10#107 |
| -24.1 | SP+ | -12.7 |
| -14.6#126 | FPI | -9.8#109 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kidd Brewer StadiumLocationBoone, NC
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1962
Elevation3,252 ft
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