UT Rio Grande Valley at UTSA: Time, TV, Odds & Prediction

AAC · Week 1

UAB @ ILLThu, Sep 3 · 8:00 PM CDTBTN BRY @ ARMYSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTCBSSN ECU @ ALASat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDTABC UNT @ IUSat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM EDTFOX URI @ TEMSat, Sep 5 · 2:00 PM EDT RGV @ UTSASat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDT TULN @ DUKESat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTACC Network TOW @ NAVYSat, Sep 5 · 3:30 PM EDTCBSSN OKST @ TLSASat, Sep 5 · 2:45 PM CDTESPNU FIU @ USFSat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT HCU @ RICESat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT ARST @ MEMSat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CDT FAU @ FLASat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDTSEC Network

All scores

RGV@

GAME DAY

Week 1 · Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30 PM CDT2:30 PM CDT

UT Rio Grande ValleyRGV–

UTSAUTSA0–0·AAC

StreamingESPN+

UTSA radioRoadrunner Radio Network

CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

UTSA opens a 28.5-point favorite. Our model gives UTSA a 97% chance.

SeriesFirst meeting

WIN PROBABILITY

UTSA 97% RGV 3%

PROJECTED FINAL

UTSA

UT Rio Grande Valley

UTSA win
97% One-score game
8% Cover UTSA −28.5
53%

What's driving the model

Home-field edge UTSA

Market lean UTSA

Model projection UTSA

Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.

UT Rio Grande Valley @ UTSA

Your sims:Sims: UTSA 0, RGV 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

UTSA

2025: 7–6 (4–4 AAC)

Wvs Florida International57–20 Lvs Army27–24 Wvs East Carolina58–24

Prediction Market

See All Prediction Markets →All →

Market-implied win probability

UTSA96%
UT Rio Grande Valley5%

CFB Vibes ModelUTSA 97%MarketUTSA 96%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $72,366 traded · as of Sep 1, 11:06 PM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

Betting Lines

See All Betting Odds →All →

SPREADRGV +28.5UTSA −28.5

TOTALOver 59.5Under 59.5

MONEYLINERGV +2500UTSA −9000

DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice

UT Rio Grande Valley vs UTSA Stats ComparisonRGV vs UTSA Stats Comparison

2025 stats

UT Rio Grande ValleyRGV		UTSAUTSA
–	PPG	35.5#14
–	PA/G	28.8#91
–	YDS/G	421.3#28
–	PASS/G	247.2#46
–	RUSH/G	174.1#52
–	YDS/PLAY	6.1#31
–	3RD DOWN	39.7%#70
–	TO MARGIN	+6#27
–	OFF PPA	0.20#43
–	DEF PPA	0.14#58
–	OFF SUCCESS	43.9%#47
–	DEF SUCCESS	38.0%#29
–	RET PROD	66.9%
–	EXPLOSIVE	1.32#30
–	SP+	-1.1
–	FPI	-5.3#88

2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.

THE VENUE

Alamodome

LocationSan Antonio, TX

Capacity36,582

SurfaceTurf

Opened1993

Elevation661 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

Write about UT Rio Grande Valley or UTSA?

Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.

Get Your Blog Featured →