Colgate @ Central Michigan, Week 2 · 2026
GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·StreamingESPN+
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Colgate opens a 23.5-point underdog. Our model gives Colgate a 7% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
COLG win
7% One-score game
14% Cover CMU −23.5
52%
7% One-score game
14% Cover CMU −23.5
52%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge CMU
Market lean CMU
Model projection CMU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Colgate @ Central Michigan
Your sims:Sims: COLG 0, CMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Central Michigan
Lat New Mexico38–7
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelCMU 93%MarketCMU 93%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $15,498 traded · as of Sep 9, 6:49 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCOLG +23.5CMU −23.5
TOTALOver 49.5Under 49.5
MONEYLINECOLG +1300CMU −2800
DraftKings · updated Sep 9, 3:01 PM ETNot gambling advice
Colgate vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonColgate vs CMU Stats Comparison
| ColgateCOLG | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5 | PPG | 7 |
| 12 | PA/G | 38 |
| 438 | YDS/G | 149 |
| 224.5 | PASS/G | 30 |
| 213.5 | RUSH/G | 119 |
| 6.6 | YDS/PLAY | 3.1 |
| 52.0% | 3RD DOWN | 18.2% |
| 48.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 26.5% |
| 34.4% | DEF SUCCESS | 49.3% |
| 1.24 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27 |
| −1 | TO MARGIN | −2 |
| 0.15 | OFF PPA | -0.05 |
| -0.06 | DEF PPA | 0.22 |
| – | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| – | ELO | 1259 |
| – | SP+ | -20.0 |
| – | FPI | -17.1#130 |
THE VENUE
Kelly/Shorts StadiumLocationMount Pleasant, MI
Capacity30,255
SurfaceTurf
Opened1972
Elevation790 ft
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