Delaware @ Middle Tennessee, Week 7 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Middle Tennessee a 27% chance.
SeriesDelaware leads 1–0 · Delaware won the last meeting, 31–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) DEL
Home-field edge MTSU
Model projection DEL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Delaware @ Middle Tennessee
Your sims:Sims: MTSU 0, DEL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)
Wat New Mexico State31–24 (OT)Wvs Sam Houston31–17Lat Western Kentucky42–26Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Middle Tennessee vs Delaware Stats ComparisonMTSU vs Delaware Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Middle TennesseeMTSU | DelawareDEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.4#107 | PPG | 29#56 |
| 30.9#115 | PA/G | 31#116 |
| 371#82 | YDS/G | 410.8#39 |
| 264.9#28 | PASS/G | 291.5#7 |
| 106.1#121 | RUSH/G | 119.2#112 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 37.1%#93 | 3RD DOWN | 41.6%#48 |
| 0.14#85 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.21#111 | DEF PPA | 0.21#108 |
| 42.2%#70 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#54 |
| 44.1%#104 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.3%#65 |
| 32.5% | RET PROD | 84.9% |
| 1.22#78 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#42 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -26.5 | SP+ | -12.9 |
| -16.1#130 | FPI | -6.6#91 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Johnny "Red" Floyd StadiumLocationMurfreesboro, TN
Capacity30,788
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation629 ft
FAN NEWS
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