East Carolina @ Old Dominion, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
ECU radioPirate Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 51% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 5–0 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 20–14 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ODU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Carolina @ Old Dominion
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, ODU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Old Dominion
Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)
Wvs South Florida24–10Wvs Georgia State27–10Wat Georgia Southern45–10Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Carolina vs Old Dominion Stats ComparisonECU vs Old Dominion Stats Comparison
2025 stats| East CarolinaECU | Old DominionODU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#24 | PPG | 32#29 |
| 20.1#25 | PA/G | 18.5#14 |
| 449#19 | YDS/G | 454.9#15 |
| 272.7#21 | PASS/G | 216#85 |
| 176.3#46 | RUSH/G | 238.9#7 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| 47.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.24#28 |
| 0.05#16 | DEF PPA | 0.02#8 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.4%#34 |
| 37.6%#24 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.8%#25 |
| 13.6% | RET PROD | 9.2% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#47 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | -6.9 |
| -0.6#68 | FPI | -4.4#85 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
S.B. Ballard StadiumLocationNorfolk, VA
Capacity20,118
SurfaceTurf
Opened1936
Elevation10 ft
FAN NEWS
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