East Carolina @ Old Dominion, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StreamingESPN+
ODU radioMonarch Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Old Dominion a 49% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 5–0 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 20–14 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ODU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Carolina @ Old Dominion
Your sims:Sims: ODU 0, ECU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Old Dominion
Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)
Wvs South Florida24–10Wvs Georgia State27–10Wat Georgia Southern45–10Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)East Carolina
East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)
Wvs Pittsburgh23–17Wat Florida Atlantic42–3Lat UTSA58–24East Carolina2025: 9–4 (6–2 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Old Dominion vs East Carolina Stats ComparisonOld Dominion vs ECU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Old DominionODU | East CarolinaECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32#29 | PPG | 32.7#24 |
| 18.5#14 | PA/G | 20.1#25 |
| 454.9#15 | YDS/G | 449#19 |
| 216#85 | PASS/G | 272.7#21 |
| 238.9#7 | RUSH/G | 176.3#46 |
| 6.7#13 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| 41.4%#49 | 3RD DOWN | 47.2%#15 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| 0.24#28 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.02#8 | DEF PPA | 0.05#16 |
| 45.4%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 37.8%#25 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.6%#24 |
| 9.2% | RET PROD | 13.6% |
| 1.27#47 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| -6.9 | SP+ | -2.3 |
| -4.4#85 | FPI | -0.6#68 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
S.B. Ballard StadiumLocationNorfolk, VA
Capacity20,118
SurfaceTurf
Opened1936
Elevation10 ft
FAN NEWS
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