GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Eastern Illinois a 51% chance.
SeriesEastern Illinois leads 12–9 since 2003 · Eastern Illinois won the last meeting, 31–7 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
TNST win
49% One-score game
40%
49% One-score game
40%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) EIU
Home-field edge TNST
Model projection EIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee St
Your sims:Sims: TNST 0, EIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern Illinois
Lvs Southeast Missouri State20–10Lvs Lindenwood20–13Wat Gardner-Webb21–7
Tennessee State
Lvs Charleston Southern20–7Wvs Morgan State25–16Lvs UT Martin42–28
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Eastern Illinois vs Tennessee State Stats ComparisonEIU vs TNST Stats Comparison
| Eastern IllinoisEIU | Tennessee StateTNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8 | PPG | 17.5 |
| 31.6 | PA/G | 31.4 |
| 251.4 | YDS/G | 289.9 |
| 140.4 | PASS/G | 228.8 |
| 111 | RUSH/G | 61.1 |
| 4.6 | YDS/PLAY | 4.4 |
| 30.4% | 3RD DOWN | 39.8% |
| 0.13 | DEF PPA | 0.16 |
| 31.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.6% |
| 44.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 42.4% |
| 1.37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31 |
| +8 | TO MARGIN | −3 |
| -0.04 | OFF PPA | -0.02 |
| -38.2 | SRS | -42.6 |
THE VENUE
Nissan StadiumLocationNashville, TN
Capacity69,143
SurfaceTurf
Opened1999
Elevation397 ft
FAN NEWS
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