GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Abilene Christian an 83% chance.
SeriesAbilene Christian leads 2–1 since 2021 · Abilene Christian won the last meeting, 17–10 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
ACU win
83% One-score game
25%
83% One-score game
25%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ACU
Home-field edge ACU
Model projection ACU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Eastern Kentucky @ Abilene Christian
Your sims:Sims: ACU 0, EKU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky2026: 3–5
Wvs West Florida16–13Lat Tennessee Tech49–20Wvs West Georgia30–20
Abilene Christian
Abilene Christian2026: 4–4
Wat North Alabama31–28Wvs Central Arkansas20–14Wvs West Florida35–7
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Eastern Kentucky vs Abilene Christian Stats ComparisonEKU vs ACU Stats Comparison
| Eastern KentuckyEKU | Abilene ChristianACU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2 | PPG | 21.9 |
| 28.8 | PA/G | 25.2 |
| 340.4 | YDS/G | 331.4 |
| 172 | PASS/G | 192.6 |
| 168.4 | RUSH/G | 138.8 |
| 5.3 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4 |
| 33.3% | 3RD DOWN | 45.5% |
| 0.09 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 37.9% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.8% |
| 41.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3% |
| 1.17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16 |
| −8 | TO MARGIN | −5 |
| -0.04 | OFF PPA | 0.09 |
| -42.1 | SRS | -30.1 |
THE VENUE
Wildcat Stadium (TX)LocationAbilene, TX
Capacity12,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation1,709 ft
FAN NEWS
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