Florida @ Auburn, Week 3 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·FloridaFLA0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Auburn opens a 1.5-point underdog. Our model gives Auburn a 46% chance.
SeriesAuburn leads 44–39–2 · Florida won the last meeting, 24–13 · 2019
What's driving the model
Home-field edge AUB
Market lean FLA
Model projection FLA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Florida @ Auburn
Your sims:Sims: AUB 0, FLA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADAUB +1.5FLA −1.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEAUB −108FLA −112
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Auburn vs Florida Stats ComparisonAuburn vs Florida Stats Comparison
2025 stats| AuburnAUB | FloridaFLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8#74 | PPG | 21.6#111 |
| 20.7#34 | PA/G | 24#60 |
| 374#79 | YDS/G | 341.3#104 |
| 197.1#99 | PASS/G | 204.6#93 |
| 176.9#43 | RUSH/G | 136.8#91 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 39.2%#75 | 3RD DOWN | 34.4%#113 |
| 0.17#61 | OFF PPA | 0.14#87 |
| 0.06#20 | DEF PPA | 0.17#81 |
| 43.5%#51 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.9%#62 |
| 37.4%#21 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9%#91 |
| 14.4% | RET PROD | 69.1% |
| 1.15#121 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10#133 |
| 11.5 | SP+ | 15.2 |
| 12.0#22 | FPI | 13.6#18 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | −1#77 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jordan-Hare StadiumLocationAuburn, AL
Capacity87,451
SurfaceGrass
Opened1939
Elevation660 ft
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