Florida @ Missouri, Week 5 · 2026
@#25
GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDFloridaFLA0–0·SEC
MissouriMIZ0–0·SEC
MIZ radioMizzou Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Missouri a 61% chance.
SeriesMissouri leads 7–6 · Missouri won the last meeting, 33–31 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MIZ
Home-field edge MIZ
Model projection MIZ
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida @ Missouri
Your sims:Sims: MIZ 0, FLA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Missouri vs Florida Stats ComparisonMissouri vs Florida Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MissouriMIZ | FloridaFLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2#44 | PPG | 21.6#111 |
| 18.9#17 | PA/G | 24#60 |
| 416.8#31 | YDS/G | 341.3#104 |
| 188.4#104 | PASS/G | 204.6#93 |
| 228.5#8 | RUSH/G | 136.8#91 |
| 5.9#46 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#92 |
| 44.9%#29 | 3RD DOWN | 34.4%#113 |
| 0.21#35 | OFF PPA | 0.14#87 |
| 0.03#10 | DEF PPA | 0.17#81 |
| 45.4%#34 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.9%#62 |
| 34.9%#7 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9%#91 |
| 42.0% | RET PROD | 69.1% |
| 1.22#75 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10#133 |
| 15.4 | SP+ | 15.2 |
| 12.2#21 | FPI | 13.6#18 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −1#77 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationColumbia, MO
Capacity71,168
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation698 ft
FAN NEWS
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