Fresno State @ Washington State, Week 5 · 2026
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GAME DAY
Week 5 · ·TVUSA Net
FRES radioBulldog Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Fresno State a 46% chance.
SeriesWashington State leads 4–2 · Washington State won the last meeting, 25–17 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FRES
Home-field edge WSU
Model projection WSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Fresno State @ Washington State
Your sims:Sims: FRES 0, WSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Fresno State
Fresno State2025: 9–4 (5–3 MWC)
Wvs Miami (OH)18–3Wat San José State41–14Lvs Utah State28–17Fresno State2025: 9–4 (5–3 MWC)Washington State
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)
Wvs Utah State34–21Wvs Oregon State32–8Lat James Madison24–20Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Fresno State vs Washington State Stats ComparisonFresno State vs WSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Fresno StateFRES | Washington StateWSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8#81 | PPG | 22.5#105 |
| 18.8#16 | PA/G | 20.2#26 |
| 354.1#94 | YDS/G | 339.8#107 |
| 183.4#112 | PASS/G | 210.4#89 |
| 170.7#54 | RUSH/G | 129.5#101 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 36.4%#100 | 3RD DOWN | 38.1%#87 |
| 0.10#103 | OFF PPA | 0.13#92 |
| 0.08#31 | DEF PPA | 0.09#36 |
| 39.7%#105 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.6%#78 |
| 38.1%#31 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 38.3% | RET PROD | 91.3% |
| 1.21#87 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11#131 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | −10#123 |
| -1.4 | SP+ | -4.3 |
| -2.5#77 | FPI | -4.1#83 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Gesa FieldLocationPullman, WA
Capacity32,952
SurfaceTurf
Opened1972
Elevation2,539 ft
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