GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Houston Christian an 89% chance.
SeriesNorthwestern State leads 5–4 since 2017 · Houston Christian won the last meeting, 20–17 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NWST win
11% One-score game
19%
11% One-score game
19%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) HCU
Home-field edge NWST
Model projection HCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Houston Christian @ Northwestern St
Your sims:Sims: NWST 0, HCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Houston Christian vs Northwestern State Stats ComparisonHCU vs NWST Stats Comparison
| Houston ChristianHCU | Northwestern StateNWST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.9 | PPG | 20 |
| 26.6 | PA/G | 44.8 |
| 322.5 | YDS/G | 338.1 |
| 177.2 | PASS/G | 226.4 |
| 145.2 | RUSH/G | 111.8 |
| 5.1 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7 |
| 35.1% | 3RD DOWN | 31.8% |
| 0.06 | DEF PPA | 0.21 |
| 35.6% | OFF SUCCESS | 35.3% |
| 43.5% | DEF SUCCESS | 43.3% |
| 1.30 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26 |
| +5 | TO MARGIN | −6 |
| -0.01 | OFF PPA | -0.05 |
| -33.9 | SRS | -58.2 |
THE VENUE
Harry Turpin StadiumLocationNatchitoches, LA
Capacity15,971
SurfaceTurf
Opened1976
Elevation120 ft
FAN NEWS
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