GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Youngstown State a 53% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 11–11 since 2003 · Youngstown State won the last meeting, 40–35 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ILST
Home-field edge YSU
Model projection YSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois St @ Youngstown St
Your sims:Sims: YSU 0, ILST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Illinois State
Wvs Indiana State17–10Wat Southern Illinois35–14Lvs South Dakota State31–14
Youngstown State
Wvs Northern Iowa35–22Wat Indiana State57–24Wat Southern Illinois28–16
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois State vs Youngstown State Stats ComparisonILST vs YSU Stats Comparison
| Illinois StateILST | Youngstown StateYSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.1 | PPG | 39.1 |
| 16.2 | PA/G | 23.1 |
| 396.6 | YDS/G | 470.2 |
| 219.6 | PASS/G | 276.5 |
| 177 | RUSH/G | 193.8 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 7.2 |
| 51.9% | 3RD DOWN | 57.0% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +3 |
| 0.15 | OFF PPA | 0.37 |
| 47.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 53.5% |
| 38.2% | DEF SUCCESS | 41.1% |
| 1.13 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27 |
| -0.08 | DEF PPA | 0.15 |
| -11.5 | SRS | -13.9 |
THE VENUE
Stambaugh StadiumLocationYoungstown, OH
Capacity20,630
SurfaceTurf
Opened1982
Elevation981 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Illinois State or Youngstown State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
